Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Methodological Evaluation of Rural Clinics Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Measurement

Alioune Diop, Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa (CODESRIA), Dakar Samba Gueye, Department of Pediatrics, Université Alioune Diop de Bambey (UADB) Mama Ndiaye, Université Alioune Diop de Bambey (UADB)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18965672
Published: July 15, 2012

Abstract

Rural health clinics in Senegal face challenges in maintaining optimal clinical outcomes due to resource constraints and varying service delivery patterns. A systematic review was conducted using databases such as PubMed and Scopus. Studies were included if they employed time-series analysis to forecast clinical outcomes in Senegalese rural clinics. One study highlighted a positive correlation between the use of ARIMA models and improved patient recovery rates by 20% over a one-year period, with a confidence interval of ±5% for this improvement. Time-series forecasting models can be effective in enhancing clinical outcomes in rural Senegalese health clinics, though further research is needed to validate these findings across different settings and contexts. Rural health authorities should prioritise the adoption of robust time-series analysis methods for continuous monitoring and improvement of clinic performance. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Alioune Diop, Samba Gueye, Mama Ndiaye (2012). Methodological Evaluation of Rural Clinics Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Measurement. African Creative Writing Research (Humanities), Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18965672

Keywords

Sub-Saharanrural healthevaluation studiesforecasting modelsclinical effectivenessresource allocationlongitudinal analysis

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Creative Writing Research (Humanities)

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