Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for System Reliability Assessment in Kenyan Transport Maintenance Depots

Odinga Kinyanjui, Department of Sustainable Systems, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology (JKUAT) Korir Were, Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research Organization (KALRO) Njagi Ombaka, Kenyatta University Mwamboi Muturi, International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (ICIPE), Nairobi
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18994380
Published: September 6, 2013

Abstract

Transport maintenance depots in Kenya are critical for ensuring safe vehicle operations. However, their reliability systems need to be evaluated and improved. A Bayesian hierarchical model was employed to evaluate the system reliability of these depots. Uncertainty quantification was achieved through credible intervals. The model identified a significant variation (35%) in repair times across different depot locations, necessitating targeted interventions. The Bayesian hierarchical approach effectively highlighted disparities and provided actionable insights for enhancing depot reliability. Implementing targeted maintenance schedules based on the findings is recommended to reduce repair times by 30%. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, System Reliability, Transport Maintenance Depots, Kenya The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Odinga Kinyanjui, Korir Were, Njagi Ombaka, Mwamboi Muturi (2013). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for System Reliability Assessment in Kenyan Transport Maintenance Depots. African Architecture Journal (Technical/Design focus), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18994380

Keywords

KenyaBayesian hierarchical modelHierarchical modellingSystem reliabilityMarkov chain Monte CarloEmpirical BayesReliability assessment

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Architecture Journal (Technical/Design focus)

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