Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

View Issue TOC

Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Municipal Infrastructure Asset Systems in Uganda: A Methodological Approach

Busembogo Nakasero, Department of Sustainable Systems, Uganda National Council for Science and Technology (UNCST) Kabweshe Mulinda, Department of Sustainable Systems, Uganda National Council for Science and Technology (UNCST)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18957892
Published: October 6, 2012

Abstract

Municipal infrastructure asset systems in Uganda require robust evaluation methods to optimise resource allocation for cost-effectiveness and sustainability. A Bayesian hierarchical model is proposed to assess the performance of municipal infrastructure assets. The approach accounts for spatial variability and heterogeneity in asset performance across different districts. The model reveals significant variation (direction: higher) in cost-effectiveness metrics among urban areas, with proportions exceeding 40%. Bayesian hierarchical modelling provides a nuanced understanding of municipal infrastructure assets' cost-effectiveness, enabling more targeted and efficient resource allocation strategies. Policy recommendations include prioritising investments where the model indicates highest potential for cost savings and system improvement. Municipal Infrastructure, Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Urban Development, Uganda The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Busembogo Nakasero, Kabweshe Mulinda (2012). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Municipal Infrastructure Asset Systems in Uganda: A Methodological Approach. African Urban Design Journal (Technical/Design focus), Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18957892

Keywords

GeographicAfricanHierarchicalBayesianModellingAssetEvaluation

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
Current Journal
African Urban Design Journal (Technical/Design focus)

References