Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model Assessment for Off-Grid Community Systems Reliability in Kenya

Kerensa Ochieng, Department of Software Engineering, Moi University Walter Oleches, Moi University Oscar Kibii, Egerton University Sara Olonye, International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (ICIPE), Nairobi
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18819831
Published: September 22, 2005

Abstract

This study examines off-grid community systems in Kenya, focusing on their reliability over a specific period. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to analyse data from off-grid community systems in Kenya, focusing on both quantitative and qualitative aspects. The model accounts for variability within and between different communities, providing robust estimates of system reliability. The analysis revealed that the proportion of systems operating reliably ranged from 65% to 78%, with significant variation across different geographical regions and socio-economic conditions. The Bayesian hierarchical model effectively captured the complexity of off-grid community systems in Kenya, offering a nuanced understanding of their reliability. Future research should consider expanding this analysis to include additional variables for enhanced accuracy. Recommend further investigation into the impact of system design and maintenance practices on overall reliability, as well as exploring potential improvements through technological advancements or policy interventions. Bayesian hierarchical model, off-grid systems, community reliability, Kenya Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Kerensa Ochieng, Walter Oleches, Oscar Kibii, Sara Olonye (2005). Bayesian Hierarchical Model Assessment for Off-Grid Community Systems Reliability in Kenya. African Supply Chain Management, Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18819831

Keywords

KenyanBayesianHierarchicalModelReliabilityOff-GridMethodology

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Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005)
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African Supply Chain Management

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