Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004)

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Replication Study on Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in Ethiopia

Yared Desta, Addis Ababa University Abraham Berihu, Department of Software Engineering, Mekelle University Molla Gebre, Department of Artificial Intelligence, Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), Addis Ababa Tekle Yohannes, Gondar University
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18802076
Published: February 22, 2004

Abstract

This study builds upon previous research that explored the application of machine learning models for climate prediction in Ethiopia. A detailed replication strategy was employed, including re-analysis of existing data sets, adjusting model hyperparameters through cross-validation, and applying ensemble learning techniques to improve robustness. The replicated models demonstrated a mean absolute error reduction of 10% compared to the original study's predictions, indicating improved accuracy in climate forecasting. The refined machine learning models significantly enhance the precision of climate predictions for Ethiopia, offering valuable insights for agricultural and water management strategies. Adapting these models into operational systems requires further validation with real-world data and stakeholder engagement to ensure effective adaptation planning. Machine Learning, Climate Prediction, Adaptation Planning, Ensemble Models, Cross-Validation Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Yared Desta, Abraham Berihu, Molla Gebre, Tekle Yohannes (2004). Replication Study on Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning in Ethiopia. African Supply Chain Management, Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18802076

Keywords

EthiopiaGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Machine LearningClimate Change AdaptationReplication StudyEnsemble ModelsPredictive Analytics

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Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004)
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African Supply Chain Management

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