African Transport Economics (Economics/Engineering crossover) | 23 January 2009
Bayesian Hierarchical Model Assessment for Municipal Infrastructure Assets in Ethiopia,
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Abstract
This study examines municipal infrastructure asset management in Ethiopia, focusing on identifying yield improvement opportunities. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to analyse data from municipal infrastructure assets, considering spatial and temporal variations. Robust standard errors were calculated to account for uncertainty. The analysis revealed a significant improvement (p < 0.01) in yield by implementing the proposed model compared to traditional methods. The Bayesian hierarchical model demonstrated effectiveness in improving yield measurement, providing a robust framework for future applications in Ethiopian municipal infrastructure management. Further research should explore scalability and potential integration with existing systems to maximise benefits. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y<em>{it}=\beta</em>0+\beta<em>1X</em>{it}+u<em>i+\varepsilon</em>{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.