Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)

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Hierarchical Bayesian Model Assessment of Maintenance Depot Systems Yield in Tanzanian Transport Infrastructure

Kazembe Mwinyi, University of Dar es Salaam
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18899063
Published: December 19, 2009

Abstract

Maintenance depots play a crucial role in ensuring the efficient operation of transport infrastructure in Tanzania. A hierarchical Bayesian model was employed to analyse data from maintenance depots across different regions in Tanzania. The model accounts for spatial heterogeneity and incorporates prior knowledge about system performance. The results indicate that incorporating regional-specific factors significantly enhances the accuracy of yield predictions, with an improvement rate of up to 15% compared to a standard Bayesian approach. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of hierarchical Bayesian modelling in assessing and optimising maintenance depot systems in Tanzanian transport infrastructure. Further research should explore the application of these findings on broader scales and across other regions, potentially leading to more widespread improvements in transportation efficiency. maintenance depots, Tanzania, yield assessment, hierarchical Bayesian model The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Kazembe Mwinyi (2009). Hierarchical Bayesian Model Assessment of Maintenance Depot Systems Yield in Tanzanian Transport Infrastructure. African Transport Economics (Economics/Engineering crossover), Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18899063

Keywords

TanzaniaBayesian hierarchical modelMaintenance depot systemsMethodological evaluationYield assessmentSpatial statisticsReliability engineering

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Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)
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African Transport Economics (Economics/Engineering crossover)

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