Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

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Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Tanzanian Environments

Mbiuki Kamanda, Ardhi University, Dar es Salaam Chirwa Mwalimu, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro Namugoye Kipkorir, Ardhi University, Dar es Salaam Kasempa Musoke, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences (MUHAS), Dar es Salaam
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18720871
Published: September 7, 2000

Abstract

Climate prediction models are crucial for understanding and adapting to environmental changes in Tanzania's diverse ecosystems. The study employed a comparative analysis of various machine learning algorithms including Random Forest and Support Vector Machines (SVM), with a focus on optimising model performance using grid search cross-validation. The dataset comprised historical weather data from multiple sites across Tanzania. Random Forest models achieved an accuracy rate of 82% in predicting temperature changes, showing strong predictive power compared to SVM with a precision rate of 75%. The study validated the effectiveness of machine learning techniques for climate prediction and adaptation planning in Tanzanian contexts. Future research should expand model validation across different regions and integrate socio-economic factors into the models to enhance their applicability. Machine Learning, Climate Prediction, Adaptation Planning, Tanzania Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Mbiuki Kamanda, Chirwa Mwalimu, Namugoye Kipkorir, Kasempa Musoke (2000). Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Tanzanian Environments. African Journal of Digital Humanities, Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18720871

Keywords

TanzaniaMachine LearningClimate PredictionData MiningGeographic Information SystemsAlgorithm EvaluationPredictive Analytics

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Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)
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African Journal of Digital Humanities

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