African Aerospace Engineering

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002)

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Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation of Process-Control Systems in Tanzanian Agricultural Yields,

Shabanazi Mawino, Department of Sustainable Systems, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha Kamanda Sitiu, Department of Electrical Engineering, State University of Zanzibar (SUZA) Mwakalindo Kizza, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18750479
Published: August 24, 2002

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of process-control systems in improving agricultural yields in Tanzania. A time-series analysis was conducted using historical agricultural yield data alongside process-control system parameters. The model's performance was evaluated through statistical testing. The developed model showed a significant positive correlation (R² = 0.85) with actual yield improvements, indicating an effective predictive capability for future yields. The time-series forecasting model demonstrated robustness in predicting agricultural yield improvements using process-control system data from Tanzania. Future research should expand the dataset to include more years and consider additional variables affecting yield performance. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

How to Cite

Shabanazi Mawino, Kamanda Sitiu, Mwakalindo Kizza (2002). Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation of Process-Control Systems in Tanzanian Agricultural Yields,. African Aerospace Engineering, Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18750479

Keywords

African agricultureTime-series analysisForecasting modelsEconometricsProcess-control systemsYield improvementAgricultural productivity

References