Vol. 1 No. 1 (2004)

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A Quasi-Experimental Design for the Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Transport Maintenance Depot Systems in South Africa

Thandiwe van der Merwe, Department of Mechanical Engineering, National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) Kagiso Botha, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Lerato Nkosi, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Sipho Pretorius, Department of Electrical Engineering, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18970795
Published: June 9, 2004

Abstract

The cost-effectiveness of transport maintenance depot systems is critical for infrastructure sustainability, yet robust empirical evaluation methods are lacking, particularly in resource-constrained settings. This paper develops and applies a novel quasi-experimental design to measure the cost-effectiveness of depot systems, aiming to isolate the causal impact of systemic interventions on maintenance expenditure and asset condition. A difference-in-differences framework was employed, comparing treatment and control depot groups before and after a systemic procurement intervention. The core statistical model is $Y_{it} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \text{Treat}_i + \beta_2 \text{Post}_t + \delta (\text{Treat}_i \times \text{Post}_t) + \epsilon_{it}$, where $Y_{it}$ is the cost per kilometre of maintained road. Robust standard errors were clustered at the depot level to account for serial correlation. The intervention yielded a statistically significant reduction in average maintenance cost per kilometre. The estimated average treatment effect was a 17.5% cost reduction (95% CI: 12.1% to 22.9%), indicating a strong positive effect on economic efficiency. The quasi-experimental design proved viable for causal inference in infrastructure management, demonstrating that targeted systemic changes in depot operations can significantly enhance cost-effectiveness. Infrastructure authorities should adopt similar evaluation frameworks for major procurement or operational changes. Future research should integrate longer-term asset condition metrics into the model. quasi-experimental design, cost-effectiveness, maintenance depots, difference-in-differences, infrastructure management, causal inference This study provides the first application of a causal inference framework to evaluate transport depot systems in this context, offering a replicable methodology for engineering asset managers.

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How to Cite

Thandiwe van der Merwe, Kagiso Botha, Lerato Nkosi, Sipho Pretorius (2004). A Quasi-Experimental Design for the Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Transport Maintenance Depot Systems in South Africa. African Civil Engineering Journal, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2004). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18970795

Keywords

Quasi-experimental designCost-effectiveness analysisTransport maintenance depotsInfrastructure sustainabilitySub-Saharan Africa

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Vol. 1 No. 1 (2004)
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