Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness in Power-Distribution Equipment Systems: A Nigerian Perspective

Chinedu Okereafor, National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18907524
Published: July 17, 2010

Abstract

Power distribution equipment systems in Nigeria are critical for ensuring reliable electricity supply to various sectors. However, these systems often face challenges related to cost-effectiveness and maintenance needs. A Bayesian hierarchical model was employed to analyse data from multiple distribution points across different regions in Nigeria. This approach allows for the integration of site-specific variability with aggregated information, providing a comprehensive evaluation of cost-effectiveness. The analysis revealed significant variations in equipment efficiency and maintenance costs across different geographical areas, highlighting the need for targeted interventions and standardised practices to enhance overall system performance. The Bayesian hierarchical model demonstrated its effectiveness in quantifying cost-effectiveness metrics with high precision, offering valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to optimise power distribution infrastructure in Nigeria. Based on the findings, recommendations include implementing a regional maintenance strategy aligned with equipment efficiency data, and promoting standardised operational protocols across the country. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Chinedu Okereafor (2010). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness in Power-Distribution Equipment Systems: A Nigerian Perspective. African Civil Engineering Journal, Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18907524

Keywords

Bayesian statisticsHierarchical modellingMarkov Chain Monte CarloCost-effectiveness analysisAfrican engineeringEconometricsOptimization techniques

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Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)
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African Civil Engineering Journal

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