Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

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Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Uganda: A Methodological Approach

Otim Ngaramwe, National Agricultural Research Organisation (NARO) Nyakabugo Nabwami, Kyambogo University, Kampala Amparazi Bwire, National Agricultural Research Organisation (NARO) Kizza Mutembirwa, Department of Cybersecurity, Uganda Christian University, Mukono
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18716150
Published: September 9, 2000

Abstract

Uganda faces significant climate variability, impacting agriculture, water resources, and public health. Employed ensemble machine learning techniques including Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM). Modelled climate data showed an average prediction accuracy of 85% with GBM, indicating a reliable method for future projections. The models provide valuable insights into climate change impacts on agriculture in Uganda. Implement these models to enhance agricultural resilience and water management strategies. Machine Learning, Climate Prediction, Adaptation Planning, Uganda Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Otim Ngaramwe, Nyakabugo Nabwami, Amparazi Bwire, Kizza Mutembirwa (2000). Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Uganda: A Methodological Approach. African Computer Engineering, Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18716150

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricaGeospatialEnsembleMachineLearningRegression

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Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)
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