Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Tanzanian Manufacturing Plants: A Methodological Evaluation

Kisito Msuya, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha Mwakisopa Mawanda, Catholic University of Health and Allied Sciences (CUHAS) Simba Kinyanjui, Department of Civil Engineering, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18893771
Published: July 12, 2009

Abstract

Manufacturing systems in Tanzanian plants are often complex and variable, necessitating robust methods to assess their reliability. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to data from several Tanzanian plants. This approach accounts for variability among different plants and within the same plant over time. The model successfully captured systematic differences in reliability performance between plants, with significant variations observed across sites. The Bayesian hierarchical method proved effective in quantifying system reliability, offering insights into manufacturing process improvements. Future studies should explore broader datasets to validate the model's applicability and generalizability. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Kisito Msuya, Mwakisopa Mawanda, Simba Kinyanjui (2009). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Tanzanian Manufacturing Plants: A Methodological Evaluation. African Control Systems Engineering, Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18893771

Keywords

TanzaniaBayesian Hierarchical ModelsMethodologyReliability AnalysisHierarchical ModellingMarkov Chain Monte CarloStructural Equation Modelling

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Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)
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African Control Systems Engineering

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