Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

View Issue TOC

Time-Series Forecasting Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems in Tanzania

Kamali Mwakaliko, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences (MUHAS), Dar es Salaam
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18959629
Published: February 13, 2012

Abstract

Recent advancements in control systems engineering have focused on the efficient management of municipal infrastructure assets in Tanzania. The methodology involves collecting data from existing municipal infrastructure projects, applying statistical analysis, and developing a time-series forecasting model using an ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) equation. Data analysis revealed significant adoption trends with a forecasted growth rate of 15% over the next two years, indicating steady progress in system implementation. The proposed ARIMA model demonstrated robust predictive capabilities for monitoring and optimising municipal infrastructure asset systems in Tanzania. Policy makers are encouraged to implement this forecasting model to guide future investments and resource allocation strategies. Municipal Infrastructure, Adoption Rates, Forecasting Model, Time-Series Analysis, ARIMA The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Kamali Mwakaliko (2012). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems in Tanzania. African Control Systems Engineering, Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18959629

Keywords

GeographicSub-SaharanAsset ManagementTime-series AnalysisEconometricsControl SystemsSustainability

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
Current Journal
African Control Systems Engineering

References