African Industrial Engineering

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

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Methodological Evaluation of Process-Control Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting for Risk Reduction Measurement

Nyarangi Nabiransah, Kampala International University (KIU) Kaboko Olwenoki, Uganda National Council for Science and Technology (UNCST) Sserumusa Okello, Uganda Christian University, Mukono
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18716058
Published: May 17, 2000

Abstract

This Data Descriptor focuses on evaluating process-control systems in Uganda's industrial sector to mitigate operational risks. A systematic approach was employed, including data collection from 20 industrial facilities in Uganda. Time-series analysis using an ARIMA model (e.g., $ARIMA(p,d,q)$) was used to forecast future trends and their impact on risk reduction measures. The time-series forecasting revealed a significant decrease of 15% in operational risks when predictive models were implemented, indicating the effectiveness of this methodological approach. This study demonstrates that integrating ARIMA models into industrial processes can lead to substantial reductions in operational risks, providing a robust framework for risk management in Ugandan industries. Industrial stakeholders are encouraged to adopt the time-series forecasting model as part of their standard risk assessment and mitigation strategies. Process-control systems, Time-series forecasting, Risk reduction, ARIMA, Uganda

How to Cite

Nyarangi Nabiransah, Kaboko Olwenoki, Sserumusa Okello (2000). Methodological Evaluation of Process-Control Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting for Risk Reduction Measurement. African Industrial Engineering, Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18716058

Keywords

UgandaGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Process ControlTime Series AnalysisForecasting ModelsRisk ManagementSystem Dynamics

References