Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems of Tanzania

Muhittin Mponda, Mkwawa University College of Education
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18908293
Published: April 9, 2010

Abstract

The reliability of municipal infrastructure assets in Tanzania is crucial for sustainable urban development. A Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to municipal infrastructure data, accounting for spatial variability and heterogeneity across regions. The analysis revealed significant differences in system reliability between urban and rural areas, with an estimated mean reliability of 85% (95% credible interval: 70-92%). The developed model provides a robust framework for assessing municipal infrastructure systems' performance. Policy makers should prioritise maintenance in regions with lower system reliability to improve overall urban resilience. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Municipal Infrastructure, System Reliability, Tanzania The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Muhittin Mponda (2010). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring System Reliability in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems of Tanzania. African Maintenance Engineering, Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18908293

Keywords

TanzaniaBayesian Hierarchical ModelReliability AssessmentInfrastructure EngineeringMonte Carlo SimulationMarkov Chain Monte CarloGeographic Information Systems

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Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)
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African Maintenance Engineering

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