Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)

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Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

Kayizi Nabukeema, Uganda Christian University, Mukono
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18731008
Published: August 16, 2001

Abstract

This study examines manufacturing systems in Uganda, focusing on their operational efficiency and potential for improvement. The methodology involves the application of time-series forecasting models to analyse historical data from Ugandan manufacturing plants. The study employs $ARIMA(p,d,q)$ model for predicting future trends based on past performance data. A significant proportion (45%) of production cycles can be predicted with a confidence interval of ±10% using ARIMA(2,1,3) model parameters. The findings suggest that time-series forecasting models are effective in identifying inefficiencies and could lead to substantial improvements in Ugandan manufacturing efficiency. Manufacturing companies should consider implementing these predictive models to optimise their operations and enhance productivity.

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How to Cite

Kayizi Nabukeema (2001). Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models. African Renewable Energy Engineering, Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18731008

Keywords

Ugandanmanufacturingforecastingmodelseconometricsproductivityanalytics

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Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)
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African Renewable Energy Engineering

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