Vol. 1 No. 1 (2009)

View Issue TOC

Randomised Field Trial for the Reliability Assessment of Power-Distribution Infrastructure in Nigeria

Amina Suleiman, Bayero University Kano Chinedu Okonkwo, Department of Sustainable Systems, Bayero University Kano
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18966425
Published: April 14, 2009

Abstract

{ "background": "The reliability of power-distribution infrastructure in many developing nations remains poorly quantified, with assessments often relying on aggregated, non-experimental data. This lack of rigorous, field-based evidence hinders targeted maintenance and investment strategies.", "purpose and objectives": "This study aimed to implement and evaluate a randomised field trial methodology to assess the failure rates and reliability of key power-distribution equipment, specifically transformers and feeder pillars, within a national network.", "methodology": "A stratified randomised sampling design was employed, selecting 450 units from operational regions across the country. Units were monitored for performance failures over a continuous operational period. Reliability was modelled using a Weibull survival analysis, with the hazard function given by $h(t) = \\frac{\\beta}{\\eta} \\left( \\frac{t}{\\eta} \\right)^{\\beta-1}$, where $\\eta$ is the scale parameter and $\\beta$ the shape parameter. Robust standard errors were calculated to account for regional clustering.", "findings": "The estimated shape parameter $\\beta$ was 1.85 (95% CI: 1.62 to 2.11), indicating an increasing failure rate over time. Transformers in coastal regions demonstrated a 34% higher hazard rate compared to those in inland areas. The median time to failure for feeder pillars was significantly lower than for transformers.", "conclusion": "The randomised trial successfully generated precise, field-derived reliability metrics, revealing distinct wear-out failure patterns and significant geographical disparities in equipment performance.", "recommendations": "Infrastructure renewal programmes should prioritise coastal networks and adopt condition-based maintenance informed by the derived Weibull parameters. The methodological framework should be institutionalised for ongoing asset management.", "key words": "reliability engineering, survival analysis, power distribution, field trial, infrastructure asset management, Weibull distribution", "contribution statement": "This paper provides the first application of a randomised field trial with survival analysis to generate empirical reliability functions for electrical

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Amina Suleiman, Chinedu Okonkwo (2009). Randomised Field Trial for the Reliability Assessment of Power-Distribution Infrastructure in Nigeria. African Structural Engineering, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2009). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18966425

Keywords

Power-distribution reliabilityRandomised field trialSub-Saharan AfricaInfrastructure assessmentNigeriaCondition monitoringOutage analysis

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 1 No. 1 (2009)
Current Journal
African Structural Engineering

References