Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006)

View Issue TOC

Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Power-Distribution Equipment in Senegal

Mamadou Diallo, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) Senegal Ibrahima Sarr, Department of Civil Engineering, Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa (CODESRIA), Dakar Mariama Ndiaye, Department of Sustainable Systems, Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa (CODESRIA), Dakar
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829495
Published: March 13, 2006

Abstract

The provision of reliable power distribution equipment in Senegal is crucial for economic development but often expensive. Current cost-effectiveness evaluations lack a rigorous statistical framework. A Bayesian hierarchical model was constructed to account for variability across regions. The model incorporates uncertainty through robust standard errors and confidence intervals. The analysis revealed significant disparities in cost-effectiveness among different power-distribution equipment models, particularly in rural areas where the cost per unit of electricity produced varied by up to 30%. This study provides a novel method for evaluating regional variations in cost-effectiveness that can guide policy decisions in Senegal's power sector. Policy makers should consider regional-specific models when determining investment priorities in power distribution equipment. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Mamadou Diallo, Ibrahima Sarr, Mariama Ndiaye (2006). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Power-Distribution Equipment in Senegal. African Learning Design, Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18829495

Keywords

Sub-SaharanBayesianHierarchicalModelEvaluationCost-EffectivenessInfrastructure

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006)
Current Journal
African Learning Design

References