Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in Tanzania Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

Kamijja Sanga, Department of Crop Sciences, National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) Habazaga Msuya, Tanzania Commission for Science and Technology (COSTECH) Mwiraria Simiyu, Tanzania Commission for Science and Technology (COSTECH)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18992577
Published: April 9, 2013

Abstract

Regional monitoring networks play a crucial role in managing aquatic resources effectively. In Tanzania, these systems are essential for fisheries and environmental management. Time-series forecasting models were applied to historical data from multiple regions in Tanzania. Model parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, with robust standard errors accounting for uncertainty. A significant proportion of the variance (75%) in annual fish production was explained by model predictions, indicating a strong fit and reliability of the forecasting models. The time-series forecasting models demonstrated high accuracy and cost-effectiveness in monitoring regional aquatic resources. Recommendations for network expansion are based on these findings. Further research should focus on integrating additional environmental factors into the model to enhance predictive accuracy, particularly during periods of climate variability. Monitoring networks, Time-series forecasting, Cost-effectiveness, Regional management, Fisheries The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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How to Cite

Kamijja Sanga, Habazaga Msuya, Mwiraria Simiyu (2013). Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in Tanzania Using Time-Series Forecasting Models. African Aquatic Resource Management (Fisheries/Aquatic/Environmental), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18992577

Keywords

African geographyFisheries managementTime-series analysisEconometricsMonitoring networksCost-effectivenessData analytics

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Aquatic Resource Management (Fisheries/Aquatic/Environmental)

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