Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

View Issue TOC

Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring Clinical Outcomes in Smallholder Farm Systems, South Africa

Nokuthula Dlamini, Durban University of Technology (DUT) Selukwe Mafuta, Department of Crop Sciences, University of Pretoria Kgoloko Molebogo, Durban University of Technology (DUT) Sifiso Mkhwanazi, Department of Agricultural Economics, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) South Africa
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18992528
Published: May 9, 2013

Abstract

Clinical outcomes in smallholder farm systems have been studied extensively, but methods for longitudinal analysis are often underutilized. A longitudinal study employing a Bayesian hierarchical model was conducted on smallholder farm systems in South Africa. The model accounts for spatial, temporal, and individual variability within the data. The analysis revealed significant variation in clinical outcomes across different farms over two years, with a notable increase in disease prevalence among poultry from 20% to 45%. The Bayesian hierarchical model provided robust insights into the dynamics of smallholder farm health and identified key areas for intervention. Policy makers should consider targeting interventions where clinical outcomes are most critical, based on our findings. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Nokuthula Dlamini, Selukwe Mafuta, Kgoloko Molebogo, Sifiso Mkhwanazi (2013). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring Clinical Outcomes in Smallholder Farm Systems, South Africa. African Fisheries Management (Fisheries/Aquatic), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18992528

Keywords

African agriculturesmallholder farmslongitudinal analysisBayesian statisticshierarchical modellingeconometricsrandomized trials

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
Current Journal
African Fisheries Management (Fisheries/Aquatic)

References