Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Yield Improvement in Process-Control Systems: An Intervention Study in South Africa

Gqoba Khumalo, Department of Sustainable Systems, University of Zululand Mahlubi Tshabalala, Department of Sustainable Systems, University of Zululand Sikhululekani Mkhize, University of Limpopo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18906555
Published: September 15, 2010

Abstract

This study evaluates the effectiveness of process-control systems in improving agricultural yields in South Africa. A Bayesian hierarchical model was employed to analyse data from field trials across multiple farms. The model accounts for spatial variability and heterogeneity in crop yields, incorporating random effects at the farm level to estimate yield improvements under different conditions. The analysis revealed a significant 15% increase in average crop yield when using the Bayesian hierarchical model compared to traditional statistical methods, with robust standard errors indicating high confidence in the results. Bayesian hierarchical models provide a statistically rigorous framework for evaluating and optimising process-control systems in agricultural settings, demonstrating substantial improvement in yield management. Implementing these models can lead to more precise predictions of crop yields, enabling farmers to make informed decisions that maximise efficiency and productivity. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Gqoba Khumalo, Mahlubi Tshabalala, Sikhululekani Mkhize (2010). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Yield Improvement in Process-Control Systems: An Intervention Study in South Africa. African Post-Harvest Technology (Food Science/Technology), Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18906555

Keywords

African agricultureBayesian statisticsHierarchical modellingProcess controlYield assessmentField trialsMethodological evaluation

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Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)
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African Post-Harvest Technology (Food Science/Technology)

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