African Post-Harvest Technology (Food Science/Technology)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007)

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Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Power-Distribution Efficiency in Ghanaian Infrastructure Systems,

Quincy Agyei Asare, Water Research Institute (WRI) Eminem Oppongaa, Department of Sustainable Systems, University of Ghana, Legon Yaw Gyamfi Kwamena, Department of Electrical Engineering, Water Research Institute (WRI) Nana Agbeyemi Takyi, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Water Research Institute (WRI)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18847574
Published: April 2, 2007

Abstract

This study examines power-distribution equipment systems in Ghanaian infrastructure, focusing on their efficiency over time. A multiple linear regression model was employed to forecast power-distribution system efficiency. The model incorporates historical data on electricity consumption and infrastructure conditions. The analysis indicates a significant decrease in power loss by 15% over the five-year period, suggesting improved equipment performance. The time-series forecasting model effectively identified trends and potential improvements in Ghanaian power distribution systems. Investment should be directed towards upgrading older infrastructure to align with forecasted demands for efficient and reliable service delivery. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

How to Cite

Quincy Agyei Asare, Eminem Oppongaa, Yaw Gyamfi Kwamena, Nana Agbeyemi Takyi (2007). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Power-Distribution Efficiency in Ghanaian Infrastructure Systems,. African Post-Harvest Technology (Food Science/Technology), Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18847574

Keywords

Geographical Information Systems (GIS)Geographic Information System (GIS)spatial analysiseconometricsforecasting methodologyregression analysispower distribution systems

References