African Forest Management (Forestry)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004)

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Methodological Assessment of Manufacturing Systems in Tanzanian Plants Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

Kamiti Mponda, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18791912
Published: October 25, 2004

Abstract

Manufacturing systems in Tanzanian plants are crucial for agricultural productivity and cost-effectiveness. A systematic literature review was conducted to analyse studies published between and . The review included articles that utilised time-series forecasting models for cost analysis of agricultural manufacturing systems. Key methodologies such as ARIMA, SARIMA, and LSTM were considered. The findings revealed a significant proportion (60%) of studies used ARIMA models to forecast costs, with a notable trend towards increasing reliance on LSTM models in recent years due to their superior predictive accuracy. Time-series forecasting models have shown promise in measuring the cost-effectiveness of agricultural manufacturing systems in Tanzania. However, there is a need for more robust model validation and real-world application studies. Further research should focus on validating these models with actual field data to enhance their applicability and reliability in Tanzanian contexts. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

How to Cite

Kamiti Mponda (2004). Methodological Assessment of Manufacturing Systems in Tanzanian Plants Using Time-Series Forecasting Models. African Forest Management (Forestry), Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18791912

Keywords

African agriculturemanufacturing systemstime-series analysiseconometricsforecasting modelsagricultural productivitycost-effectiveness assessment

References