Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Evaluating Off-Grid Communities Systems in Rwanda: A Methodological Framework

Rutaganora Alphonse, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Kwegyirah Kayitare, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Byarugaram Ndege, Department of Software Engineering, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Hakizimana Innocent, Rwanda Environment Management Authority (REMA)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18992936
Published: April 1, 2013

Abstract

Rwanda aims to reduce off-grid communities' reliance on fossil fuels for energy by promoting renewable energy systems. This study focuses on evaluating and optimising such systems. The approach involves constructing a Bayesian hierarchical model to account for spatial variability and heterogeneity among different communities. This model will incorporate data from multiple sources including weather patterns, socio-economic factors, and energy consumption habits. The framework provides robust tools for policymakers and practitioners to optimise off-grid community solar projects, thereby enhancing energy access and sustainability. Implementing the Bayesian hierarchical model can lead to more efficient resource allocation and risk management strategies in off-grid communities across Rwanda. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Rutaganora Alphonse, Kwegyirah Kayitare, Byarugaram Ndege, Hakizimana Innocent (2013). Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Evaluating Off-Grid Communities Systems in Rwanda: A Methodological Framework. African Journal of GIS and Spatial Analysis (Environmental/Earth Science, Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18992936

Keywords

GeographicAfricanHierarchicalBayesianModellingEvaluationMethodology

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Journal of GIS and Spatial Analysis (Environmental/Earth Science

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