Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022)

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A Methodological Evaluation and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya: A Difference-in-Differences Model

Wanjiku Mwangi, University of Nairobi Kamau Ochieng, Maseno University Amina Hassan, Maseno University Kiprotich Chebet, African Population and Health Research Center (APHRC)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18952700
Published: January 25, 2022

Abstract

Public health surveillance is critical for food security and disease control, yet robust methodological frameworks for evaluating its cost-effectiveness in resource-limited settings are lacking. This case study aimed to develop and apply a novel quasi-experimental methodology to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of enhanced surveillance systems, comparing their impact on outbreak detection timeliness and resource utilisation. A difference-in-differences model was employed, using panel data from surveillance units. The core specification was $Y_{it} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \text{Treated}_{i} + \beta_2 \text{Post}_{t} + \delta (\text{Treated}_{i} \times \text{Post}_{t}) + \epsilon_{it}$, where $Y_{it}$ is the detection time. Inference was based on cluster-robust standard errors. Cost data were integrated for incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. The intervention was associated with a statistically significant reduction in mean detection time of 4.2 days (95% CI: 2.1, 6.3). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated at $\unicode{x00A3}1,850$ per outbreak detected one week earlier, with sensitivity analyses confirming robustness. The applied econometric model provides a rigorous framework for attributing changes in surveillance outcomes, demonstrating that the enhanced system was cost-effective under local conditions. Programme planners should adopt quasi-experimental designs for surveillance evaluation. Investment should prioritise integrated data platforms that reduce reporting delays, as modelled here. health surveillance, cost-effectiveness analysis, difference-in-differences, quasi-experimental design, programme evaluation This study provides a novel application of a difference-in-differences framework to attribute changes in surveillance performance and calculate cost-effectiveness, generating a replicable model for similar settings.

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How to Cite

Wanjiku Mwangi, Kamau Ochieng, Amina Hassan, Kiprotich Chebet (2022). A Methodological Evaluation and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Kenya: A Difference-in-Differences Model. African Food Systems Research (Interdisciplinary - incl Agri/Env), Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18952700

Keywords

Public health surveillanceCost-effectiveness analysisDifference-in-differencesSub-Saharan AfricaHealth systems evaluationKenya

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Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022)
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African Food Systems Research (Interdisciplinary - incl Agri/Env)

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