Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Forecasting Adoption Rates in Ghana's Community Health Centers Using Time-Series Analysis Techniques

Kwesi Dankai, Department of Epidemiology, University of Ghana, Legon Abena Mensah, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR-Ghana) Ameyaw Agyei, Department of Epidemiology, Accra Technical University Yinka Kwasi, Department of Clinical Research, University of Ghana, Legon
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18966588
Published: April 11, 2012

Abstract

Community health centers in Ghana play a crucial role in providing healthcare services to underserved populations. A comprehensive time-series forecasting model was employed to analyse adoption data from Ghana's community health centers. The ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) model was used for its robustness in handling temporal data and uncertainty estimates were provided using a 95% confidence interval. The initial analysis showed an average adoption rate of 72%, with significant variation observed across different regions, indicating the need for targeted interventions to improve coverage. Time-series forecasting models offer valuable insights into understanding and predicting adoption rates in Ghana's community health centers. Further research is recommended to refine these models and inform policy decisions. Implementing tailored strategies based on regional data could enhance service uptake, particularly focusing on regions with lower-than-average adoption rates. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Kwesi Dankai, Abena Mensah, Ameyaw Agyei, Yinka Kwasi (2012). Forecasting Adoption Rates in Ghana's Community Health Centers Using Time-Series Analysis Techniques. African Data Archiving (LIS/Technical), Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18966588

Keywords

Sub-Saharanhealth systemsforecastingeconometricsintervention effectivenesslongitudinal analysiscommunity engagement

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Data Archiving (LIS/Technical)

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