Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems in South Africa

Sifiso Mkhize, Department of Civil Engineering, Mintek Mphuthsendile Dlamini, Mintek Nomsa Nxumalo, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18975582
Published: October 9, 2012

Abstract

Municipal infrastructure assets systems in South Africa face challenges related to adoption rates of new technologies and practices. A Bayesian hierarchical model was employed to analyse data from multiple municipalities across South Africa. The model accounts for spatial heterogeneity and varying adoption rates. The analysis revealed significant differences in adoption rates between urban and rural areas, with a notable proportion (35%) of assets systems adopting advanced monitoring technologies. The Bayesian hierarchical model effectively captures the variability in municipal infrastructure adoption across different contexts. Policy makers should prioritise investment in municipalities with lower adoption rates to ensure equitable coverage of new technologies. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Adoption Rates, Municipal Infrastructure, South Africa The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Sifiso Mkhize, Mphuthsendile Dlamini, Nomsa Nxumalo (2012). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in Municipal Infrastructure Assets Systems in South Africa. African Civil Law Studies, Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18975582

Keywords

Bayesian statisticshierarchical modellingadoption ratesasset managementSouth Africaquantitative methodsgeographic information systems

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Civil Law Studies

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