Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Plants Systems in South Africa: A Time-Series Forecasting Model for Adoption Rates Assessment

Mamoketlile Mogae, Department of Advanced Studies, University of Pretoria Sipho Mkhize, University of Pretoria Makgosie Matheus, Department of Research, SA Astronomical Observatory (SAAO) Khadija Zuma, University of Pretoria
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18976965
Published: June 5, 2012

Abstract

Manufacturing plants in South Africa have been adopting various energy systems to meet regulatory requirements and operational needs. The study employed ethnographic methods, including interviews and observations, to gather data on manufacturing plants' energy system implementations in South Africa. A time-series forecasting model was developed to analyse historical adoption data and project future trends. A significant proportion (75%) of the sampled plants had adopted at least one new energy system by the end of the study period, with a notable increase observed in solar power installations over recent years. The time-series forecasting model accurately predicted the adoption rates based on historical data. The findings suggest that further incentives and support are needed to accelerate the uptake of advanced energy systems in South African manufacturing plants. Policy makers should consider promoting public-private partnerships for funding innovative energy projects, as well as implementing educational programmes to enhance awareness about sustainable energy solutions. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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Mamoketlile Mogae, Sipho Mkhize, Makgosie Matheus, Khadija Zuma (2012). Methodological Evaluation of Manufacturing Plants Systems in South Africa: A Time-Series Forecasting Model for Adoption Rates Assessment. African Energy Law Journal (Law/Energy/Policy crossover), Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18976965

Keywords

Africanethnographyqualitativesustainabilityinnovationforecastingassessment

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Energy Law Journal (Law/Energy/Policy crossover)

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