Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002)

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Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Yield Improvement Analysis

Mukasa Kizza, Department of Epidemiology, Uganda Christian University, Mukono Kabogozi Byamungu, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit Orikiiri Namugisa, Kampala International University (KIU)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18743305
Published: April 13, 2002

Abstract

District hospitals in Uganda face challenges in service delivery efficiency due to various systemic issues. A mixed-methods approach was employed, incorporating both quantitative (time-series forecasting) and qualitative data collection methods to assess system performance over a period of one year. Time-series models showed an average yield improvement of 15% in key operational metrics such as patient throughput and resource utilization. The time-series forecasting models demonstrated significant potential for enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of district hospital operations in Uganda, particularly in areas related to patient care flow and resource allocation. Immediate implementation of these models within district hospitals is recommended alongside ongoing monitoring and refinement based on feedback from healthcare providers and patients. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Mukasa Kizza, Kabogozi Byamungu, Orikiiri Namugisa (2002). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Yield Improvement Analysis. African Critical Care Nursing, Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18743305

Keywords

African healthcareyield improvementtime-series analysisforecasting modelsquantitative methodsqualitative methodsintervention studies

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Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002)
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African Critical Care Nursing

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