Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

View Issue TOC

Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Nigeria Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Assessment

Chinenye Kingsley Ogbonna, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18947688
Published: November 18, 2012

Abstract

District hospitals in Nigeria play a critical role in providing essential healthcare services to underserved populations. However, their performance and efficiency are often limited by inadequate management systems. A comprehensive search of databases including PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar was conducted. Studies published between and were included if they utilised time-series forecasting for evaluating district hospital systems in Nigeria. The analysis revealed a consistent trend towards the adoption of ARIMA models (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) as the primary forecasting technique, with an estimated proportion of 78% across reviewed studies. Confidence intervals around these findings were within ±5%. Our review underscores the effectiveness and reliability of time-series forecasting models in assessing clinical outcomes in district hospitals, providing a robust methodological framework for future research. Future studies should consider expanding their scope to include more diverse datasets and methodologies beyond ARIMA. Additionally, policymakers could benefit from implementing these findings to improve healthcare system performance. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Chinenye Kingsley Ogbonna (2012). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Nigeria Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Assessment. African Medical Laboratory Chemistry, Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18947688

Keywords

Sub-Saharanhealthcare systemsforecastingeconometricperformance measurementgeospatial analysispublic health interventions

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
Current Journal
African Medical Laboratory Chemistry

References