Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Samar Gakaaya, Department of Pediatrics, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit Pamela Masembe, Department of Public Health, Kampala International University (KIU) Elly Nakibinge, Mbarara University of Science and Technology Ernest Mugerwa, Department of Surgery, Mbarara University of Science and Technology
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18989147
Published: January 28, 2013

Abstract

District hospitals in Uganda face challenges related to cost-effectiveness due to limited resources and fluctuating patient inflows. A systematic review was conducted using databases such as PubMed, Web of Science, and Africa-Wide Index to identify studies that applied time-series forecasting models for measuring cost-effectiveness in Ugandan district hospitals. The search criteria included papers published between and . A significant proportion (75%) of reviewed studies used ARIMA models, with a notable direction towards improving forecast accuracy over simpler methods like linear regression. While time-series forecasting has shown promise in enhancing cost-effectiveness analysis, there is variability in model application and interpretation across different study contexts. Future research should prioritise methodological consistency and robustness to ensure reliable cost-effectiveness assessments for Ugandan district hospitals. district hospitals, Uganda, time-series forecasting, cost-effectiveness analysis Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Samar Gakaaya, Pamela Masembe, Elly Nakibinge, Ernest Mugerwa (2013). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. African Medical Laboratory Chemistry, Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18989147

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricanHospitalsSystematicLiteratureForecastingEvaluation

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Medical Laboratory Chemistry

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