African Medical Laboratory Microbiology

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002)

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Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Namugenyi Mugisha, Mbarara University of Science and Technology Kizza Mpiraba, Makerere University Business School (MUBS) Okotho Okello, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18743909
Published: November 15, 2002

Abstract

District hospitals in Uganda face challenges in maintaining cost-effectiveness due to variable resource availability and patient flow. A meta-analysis was conducted comparing multiple studies from -. Time-series forecasting models were applied to historical cost data. Forecasting models indicated a need for at least 6 months of historical data for accurate predictions, with significant variations in costs across different regions. Future studies should prioritise collecting comprehensive and consistent time-series data from multiple hospitals. Develop standardised forecasting methods to enhance reliability and consistency in cost-effectiveness analyses. District Hospitals, Cost-Effectiveness, Time-Series Forecasting, Meta-Analysis Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

How to Cite

Namugenyi Mugisha, Kizza Mpiraba, Okotho Okello (2002). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. African Medical Laboratory Microbiology, Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18743909

Keywords

Sub-Saharanhealthcare systemsmeta-analysistime-seriesforecastingcost-effectivenesseconometric models

References