Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

View Issue TOC

Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of District Hospital Systems in Senegal

Amadou Niangène, Department of Surgery, Institut Sénégalais de Recherches Agricoles (ISRA) Ibrahima Faye, Institut Sénégalais de Recherches Agricoles (ISRA) Sékou Diopba, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) Senegal Mohamed Ndiaye, Université Gaston Berger (UGB), Saint-Louis
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18708471
Published: July 6, 2000

Abstract

District hospitals in Senegal are pivotal to healthcare delivery, yet their cost-effectiveness remains uncertain. A time-series forecasting model was applied to historical data from four district hospitals in Senegal. The model incorporates ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) for trend analysis, with robust standard errors accounting for uncertainty. The ARIMA model revealed a positive trend in resource allocation efficiency over the past five years, with a forecasted increase of 12% in cost-effectiveness by . The time-series forecasting model provides insights into the potential future performance of district hospitals in Senegal, aiding in strategic planning and resource optimization. District hospital managers should consider implementing resource allocation strategies based on forecasted trends to enhance efficiency and sustainability. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Amadou Niangène, Ibrahima Faye, Sékou Diopba, Mohamed Ndiaye (2000). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of District Hospital Systems in Senegal. African Mental Health Nursing, Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18708471

Keywords

African geographydistrict hospitalscost-effectivenesstime-series analysisforecasting modelseconometricshealth economics

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)
Current Journal
African Mental Health Nursing

References