Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Tanzania Through Time-Series Forecasting Models for Adoption Rate Measurement

Mwase Chituwo, National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) Nasikali Muhamedipo, Department of Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro Simba Komba, Department of Pediatrics, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro Kamanga Simba, National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18947208
Published: January 6, 2012

Abstract

District hospitals in Tanzania face challenges in adopting new medical technologies and practices efficiently. A systematic approach will be employed to analyse historical data on technology adoption. Time-series forecasting models such as ARIMA will be used to predict future trends and inform recommendations for system enhancement. The analysis indicates a steady increase in the use of electronic health records (EHRs) over the past five years, with a projected growth rate of 10% annually based on the time-series model. Time-series forecasting models provide valuable insights into technology adoption patterns and can guide policy decisions for improving healthcare delivery in Tanzania’s district hospitals. Implementing continuous monitoring systems and promoting inter-hospital collaboration could accelerate the adoption of new technologies among district hospitals. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Mwase Chituwo, Nasikali Muhamedipo, Simba Komba, Kamanga Simba (2012). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals Systems in Tanzania Through Time-Series Forecasting Models for Adoption Rate Measurement. African Oncology Nursing, Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18947208

Keywords

African geographydistrict health systemsforecasting modelstime series analysismedical technology adoptiondata analyticsevaluation methodologies

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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