Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006)

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Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation in Uganda's Community Health Centres Systems

Mukasa Mulenga, Department of Public Health, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit Ssemogerere Ojijo, Gulu University
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18824626
Published: July 21, 2006

Abstract

Community health centers in Uganda face challenges in resource allocation and cost-effectiveness measurement. A time-series forecasting model was applied to historical data from Ugandan community health centers. Robust standard errors were used to assess the uncertainty associated with predictions. The model demonstrated an average error reduction of 15% in cost projections, indicating improved accuracy compared to traditional methods. Time-series forecasting significantly improves the prediction of costs in Ugandan community health centers, enhancing resource management and operational efficiency. Implementing this model can lead to more effective allocation of resources within community health centers, thereby improving service delivery. Community Health Centers, Time-Series Forecasting, Cost-Effectiveness, Uganda Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Mukasa Mulenga, Ssemogerere Ojijo (2006). Time-Series Forecasting Model Evaluation in Uganda's Community Health Centres Systems. African Physiotherapy Journal (Research focus), Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18824626

Keywords

Community health centersUgandaforecasting modelstime-series analysiseconometricscost-effectivenessgeographic information systems

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Vol. 2006 No. 1 (2006)
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African Physiotherapy Journal (Research focus)

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