Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004)

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Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centre Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

Oumar Ndoye, Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa (CODESRIA), Dakar Muhammad Diallo, Université Alioune Diop de Bambey (UADB) Mariama Ndiaye, Institut Pasteur de Dakar Ibrahima Sall, Department of Public Health, Cheikh Anta Diop University (UCAD), Dakar
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18788005
Published: December 2, 2004

Abstract

Community health centres in Senegal play a crucial role in providing healthcare services to underserved populations. However, their performance can be influenced by various factors such as resource allocation and operational efficiency. The methodology employed includes collecting historical data from selected community health centres in Senegal. Time-series forecasting models were then applied to predict future yields and identify trends and patterns. A trend analysis revealed an upward movement in service delivery efficiency by approximately 12% over the past five years, with a confidence interval of ±3%. The time-series forecasting models provided insights into the operational dynamics of community health centres, highlighting areas for improvement and suggesting strategies to enhance their performance. Based on the findings, recommendations include increasing investment in training for healthcare providers and implementing data-driven decision-making processes to optimise resource allocation. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Oumar Ndoye, Muhammad Diallo, Mariama Ndiaye, Ibrahima Sall (2004). Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centre Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting Models. African Primary Care Nursing, Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18788005

Keywords

African geographyCommunity health centresForecasting modelsTime-series analysisEpidemiologyPublic health metricsResource allocation

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Vol. 2004 No. 1 (2004)
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African Primary Care Nursing

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