Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model Replication Study on Municipal Infrastructure Asset Systems in Nigeria

Oluwaseyi Adekunle, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Benin Taiwo Odunayo, University of Benin
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18993086
Published: September 22, 2013

Abstract

Recent studies have highlighted the challenges in assessing the reliability of municipal infrastructure systems in Nigeria. These challenges include inadequate data and methodological discrepancies. The study replicates previous work by reanalyzing existing data using the same Bayesian hierarchical model. Key aspects include specifying prior distributions and estimating posterior distributions through Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. The analysis revealed that incorporating spatial dependencies significantly improved the accuracy of reliability estimates, with a notable improvement in system performance metrics across different regions. This replication study supports the utility of Bayesian hierarchical models for assessing municipal infrastructure systems in Nigeria, particularly when considering geographical variations. Future research should explore extensions to this model, such as incorporating additional environmental factors or improving data collection methods. Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Municipal Infrastructure, Reliability Assessment, Nigeria The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Oluwaseyi Adekunle, Taiwo Odunayo (2013). Bayesian Hierarchical Model Replication Study on Municipal Infrastructure Asset Systems in Nigeria. African Nanotechnology in Engineering (Environmental applications), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18993086

Keywords

NigeriaBayesian Hierarchical ModelAsset ManagementReliability EngineeringMonte Carlo SimulationSpatial StatisticsMethodological Evaluation

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Nanotechnology in Engineering (Environmental applications)

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