Vol. 1 No. 1 (2026)

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Malaria Protection Equity in a Conflict-Affected County: LLINs Utilization Among Vulnerable Subgroups in Fashoda County, Upper Nile State, South Sudan — A Cross-Sectional Analytical Study

Lual Kur Amum Ajak, School of Public Health, AMREF International University, Nairobi, Kenya Denis Butto, School of Public Health, AMREF International University, Nairobi, Kenya Tobijo Denis Sokiri Moses, School of Public Health, Upper Nile University, South Sudan
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19046062
Published: January 18, 2026

Abstract

Background: Malaria disproportionately burdens vulnerable subgroups—pregnant women, children under five, internally displaced persons (IDPs), and semi-nomadic communities—in conflict-affected South Sudan. Fashoda County, Upper Nile State, hosts a mosaic of such populations with distinct risk profiles and utilization barriers. Evidence on how LLINs utilization varies across these subgroups is essential for achieving equity in malaria protection. Objective: To characterize LLINs utilization patterns and identify subgroup-specific determinants among distinct vulnerable population segments in Fashoda County, South Sudan, using a Health Equity Lens and vulnerability-stratified analytical approach. Methods: A cross-sectional analytical study among 334 households was conducted using PPS cluster sampling across four settlement types. A composite vulnerability index was constructed from displacement status, income level, and geographic access indicators. Sex-disaggregated analysis, distribution channel effectiveness assessment, and SDG alignment mapping were applied alongside Spearman correlation and ordinal logistic regression in IBM SPSS v25. Results: A composite vulnerability ladder identified semi-nomadic cattle camp households (score 88/100), pregnant women (82/100), and children under five households (78/100) as the highest-risk subgroups, yet with the greatest predicted benefit from targeted interventions. ANC-integrated continuous distribution demonstrated the highest utilization efficiency (74%) and equity score (82) among delivery channels—substantially outperforming mass campaign alone (50.3% utilization efficiency). Predicted probability modelling showed that combined knowledge-plus-access improvements could raise utilization to 78.2% for the general population and 7

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Lual Kur Amum Ajak, Denis Butto, Tobijo Denis Sokiri Moses (2026). Malaria Protection Equity in a Conflict-Affected County: LLINs Utilization Among Vulnerable Subgroups in Fashoda County, Upper Nile State, South Sudan — A Cross-Sectional Analytical Study. African Journal of Public Health and Health Systems, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19046062

Keywords

malaria equityLLINsvulnerable populationspregnant womenchildren under fiveIDPsgender

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  • © 2025 Ajak, Butto & Sokiri Moses. Submitted to Malaria & Global Health under CC BY 4.0 License. DOI: 10.XXXXX/MGH.2025.XXXXX — REPLACE WITH ACTUAL DOI ON ACCEPTANCE