Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
Time-Series Forecasting Model for Measuring Adoption Rates in District Hospitals Systems: A Methodological Evaluation of South African Context,
Abstract
The adoption rates of new healthcare technologies in South African district hospitals are critical for improving patient outcomes and resource management. The study employed a time-series analysis using an ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) model. Data were collected through surveys and official records. Adoption rates of electronic health record systems showed a consistent upward trend, increasing by approximately 15% over the two-year period. The ARIMA model provided reliable forecasts for adoption trends in district hospitals, indicating potential improvements with sustained intervention strategies. Further research should explore longer-term projections and incorporate additional variables such as financial incentives to enhance technology uptake. ARIMA model, time-series forecasting, healthcare technology, South Africa, district hospitals Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.
Read the Full Article
The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.