Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)

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Predictive Analytics Models for Early Detection of Mental Health Issues Among University Students in Lagos, Nigeria: An Outreach and Impact Evaluation Study

Abiodun Ogunleye, University of Benin Olatunde Idowu, University of Benin Temitope Adekanye, Federal University of Technology, Akure Olusali Gbadamosi, American University of Nigeria (AUN)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18897287
Published: May 17, 2009

Abstract

This study addresses the challenge of early detection of mental health issues among university students in Lagos, Nigeria, focusing on the unique social and cultural contexts that influence their well-being. A hybrid machine learning method, combining logistic regression and decision trees, was employed. Data were collected from over 500 university students using validated scales to measure mental health indicators and demographic variables. The predictive model achieved an accuracy rate of 78% in identifying students at risk for mental health issues, with a confidence interval of ±3%. The study underscores the effectiveness of predictive analytics in early detection but highlights the need for further validation and integration into existing student support systems. Future research should explore integrating these models into university health services to enhance proactive mental health interventions. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Abiodun Ogunleye, Olatunde Idowu, Temitope Adekanye, Olusali Gbadamosi (2009). Predictive Analytics Models for Early Detection of Mental Health Issues Among University Students in Lagos, Nigeria: An Outreach and Impact Evaluation Study. African Conflict Resolution Journal (Political Science focus), Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18897287

Keywords

Sub-Saharan AfricaGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Predictive AnalyticsMachine LearningData MiningSocial Network AnalysisMental Health Epidemiology

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Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)
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African Conflict Resolution Journal (Political Science focus)

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