Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)
Predictive Analytics Models for Early Detection of Mental Health Issues Among University Students in Lagos, Nigeria: An Outreach and Impact Evaluation Study
Abstract
This study addresses the challenge of early detection of mental health issues among university students in Lagos, Nigeria, focusing on the unique social and cultural contexts that influence their well-being. A hybrid machine learning method, combining logistic regression and decision trees, was employed. Data were collected from over 500 university students using validated scales to measure mental health indicators and demographic variables. The predictive model achieved an accuracy rate of 78% in identifying students at risk for mental health issues, with a confidence interval of ±3%. The study underscores the effectiveness of predictive analytics in early detection but highlights the need for further validation and integration into existing student support systems. Future research should explore integrating these models into university health services to enhance proactive mental health interventions. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.
Read the Full Article
The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.