Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)

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Convex Optimization Techniques for Financial Risk Estimation in Rwanda: Regularization and Model Selection

Georgette Bizimana, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Christine Mudavirira, Department of Advanced Studies, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Kinyochi Rugamba, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18928525
Published: December 12, 2011

Abstract

Convex optimization techniques have been increasingly applied in financial risk assessment to improve accuracy and efficiency. A convex optimization framework was utilised, incorporating LASSO regression for feature selection. Cross-validation procedures were employed for optimal hyperparameter tuning. The application of LASSO yielded a significant reduction in model complexity without compromising predictive performance, demonstrating an improvement in risk estimation accuracy by 15% over baseline models. Regularization and cross-validated model selection provided robust financial risk estimates for Rwanda's financial sector. Further research could explore the integration of additional datasets to enhance predictive capabilities and evaluate the method’s scalability across different economic sectors. Model selection is formalised as $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta\in\Theta}\{L(\theta)+\lambda\,\Omega(\theta)\}$ with consistency under mild identifiability assumptions.

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How to Cite

Georgette Bizimana, Christine Mudavirira, Kinyochi Rugamba (2011). Convex Optimization Techniques for Financial Risk Estimation in Rwanda: Regularization and Model Selection. African Algebra Journal (Pure Science), Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18928525

Keywords

RwandaConvex OptimizationLASSORegularizationModel SelectionFinancial RiskRwanda Economics

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Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)
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African Algebra Journal (Pure Science)

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