Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)

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Matrix Decompositions for Power Grid Forecasting in Uganda: A Spectral Analysis and Condition Number Examination

Bobiyo Mugyenyi, Department of Advanced Studies, Mbarara University of Science and Technology Ekaggala Sekandi, Department of Advanced Studies, Uganda Christian University, Mukono Abagi Nkamurakapya, National Agricultural Research Organisation (NARO)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18730326
Published: August 23, 2001

Abstract

Matrix decompositions are fundamental techniques in linear algebra used to simplify matrix operations, enhancing computational efficiency for various applications including power grid forecasting. A series of experiments were conducted using historical power grid data from Uganda's electric utility company. Spectral methods were employed to analyse the eigenvalues and singular values, while condition number analysis was used to evaluate matrix stability and sensitivity. A notable finding is that Singular Value Decomposition outperformed other methods in terms of reducing the condition number, indicating improved numerical stability for power grid forecasting models. The study concludes that matrix decomposition techniques can significantly enhance the accuracy and reliability of power grid forecasts in Uganda, particularly when using SVD. Power grid operators are encouraged to implement these methods as a routine part of their data analysis workflows to improve predictive modelling and resource allocation efficiency. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Bobiyo Mugyenyi, Ekaggala Sekandi, Abagi Nkamurakapya (2001). Matrix Decompositions for Power Grid Forecasting in Uganda: A Spectral Analysis and Condition Number Examination. African Algebra Journal (Pure Science), Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18730326

Keywords

Matrix DecompositionPower Grid ForecastingUgandaSpectral AnalysisCondition NumberLinear AlgebraEigenvalues

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Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)
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