Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

View Issue TOC

Spectral Methods and Condition-Number Analysis in Time-Series Econometrics for Financial Risk Estimation in South Africa,

Siyabonga Cele, Department of Advanced Studies, Stellenbosch University
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18993630
Published: May 15, 2013

Abstract

This study examines the application of spectral methods and condition-number analysis in time-series econometrics to estimate financial risk in South Africa. Spectral methods and condition-number analysis are employed to analyse time-series data. A key assumption is that the dataset exhibits stationarity and ergodicity, allowing for reliable spectral estimation. A notable finding is the identification of a significant seasonal pattern in financial returns, with a coefficient ratio of 1.2 indicating strong seasonality effects. The study concludes that incorporating spectral analysis enhances risk assessment models, particularly for identifying and mitigating cyclical risks in South African financial markets. Recommendation is to integrate the proposed methodologies into existing financial risk management systems to improve accuracy and robustness. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Siyabonga Cele (2013). Spectral Methods and Condition-Number Analysis in Time-Series Econometrics for Financial Risk Estimation in South Africa,. African Journal of Mathematics (Pure Science), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18993630

Keywords

African geographyTime-series analysisEconometricsSpectral methodsCondition numbersFinancial risk assessmentSouth Africa

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
Current Journal
African Journal of Mathematics (Pure Science)

References