Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008)

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Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Agricultural Yield Prediction in Rwanda

Kabageni Muhire, University of Rwanda
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18870157
Published: June 10, 2008

Abstract

Time-series econometrics is a critical tool for analysing agricultural yield data in Rwanda to understand trends and predict future yields. Asymptotic analysis will be conducted on a dataset of historical agricultural yield data in Rwanda, with identifiability checks applied to ensure model parameters are uniquely determined. The asymptotic properties indicate that the variance of forecast errors decreases as time increases, suggesting improved predictive accuracy over longer periods. The identifiability checks validate the models' ability to estimate agricultural yield trends accurately without ambiguity. Future research should explore integrating climate data into these models for enhanced predictive capabilities. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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How to Cite

Kabageni Muhire (2008). Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Agricultural Yield Prediction in Rwanda. African Journal of Mathematics (Pure Science), Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18870157

Keywords

African GeographyTime-Series AnalysisEconometricsIdentifiabilityAsymptotic PropertiesStationarityForecasting Models

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Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008)
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African Journal of Mathematics (Pure Science)

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