Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005)
Nonlinear Differential Equations Framework for Power-Grid Forecasting in Uganda Using Finite-Element Discretization with Error Bounds Analysis
Abstract
Nonlinear differential equations are essential in modelling complex systems such as power grids, which exhibit nonlinearity due to interactions between various components like generators and loads. Finite-element methods are employed to discretize the nonlinear differential equations governing the power-grid dynamics, enabling numerical simulations that account for spatial variations and discontinuities. Error analysis is conducted to assess the reliability of these forecasts under finite-element approximation. Theoretical analysis and finite-element simulation results demonstrate the feasibility of applying nonlinear differential equations for accurate power-grid forecasting in Uganda’s complex grid environment. The framework provides a robust method for improving grid stability and reliability predictions. Recommend further empirical validation through real-world data integration, alongside exploring potential improvements to the error bounds analysis technique. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.