Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)

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Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals in Ethiopia: A Time-Series Forecasting Model for Cost-Effectiveness Assessment

Abraham Asfaw, Addis Ababa University Fekadu Gebrehiwet, Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), Addis Ababa Gebru Aysheshenaye, Addis Ababa University Tadesse Debella, Department of Internal Medicine, Gondar University
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18905291
Published: January 10, 2010

Abstract

District hospitals in Ethiopia play a crucial role in healthcare delivery, yet their performance varies significantly across different regions and over time. A comprehensive search strategy was employed using databases such as PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar. Studies were selected based on predefined inclusion criteria related to cost-effectiveness assessments of district hospitals in Ethiopia from onwards. The quality of studies was assessed using the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) checklist. The time-series forecasting model demonstrated a moderate accuracy rate, with an RMSE value of 5% and a confidence interval suggesting that the proportion of variance explained by the model is between 60-70%. The reviewed studies show significant methodological variability in cost-effectiveness assessments. The proposed time-series forecasting model shows promise for improving the accuracy and reliability of such evaluations. Future research should prioritise validation of the proposed model through real-world applications and further refinement based on feedback from stakeholders. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Abraham Asfaw, Fekadu Gebrehiwet, Gebru Aysheshenaye, Tadesse Debella (2010). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospitals in Ethiopia: A Time-Series Forecasting Model for Cost-Effectiveness Assessment. African Biochemistry Letters (Core Life Science), Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18905291

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricanHospitalSystemsMethodologyForecastingEthiopia

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Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)
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African Biochemistry Letters (Core Life Science)

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