African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008)

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Spectral Methods and Condition-Number Analysis in Stochastic Power-Grid Forecasting for Senegal: A Theoretical Framework

Mahamadi Diop, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) Senegal Sarra Ndaw, Université Gaston Berger (UGB), Saint-Louis Salif Sow, Cheikh Anta Diop University (UCAD), Dakar
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18870472
Published: October 10, 2008

Abstract

This article explores stochastic power-grid forecasting in Senegal, focusing on spectral methods and condition-number analysis to enhance predictive accuracy. Spectral decomposition of the system matrix will be employed, alongside rigorous condition-number analysis to ensure stability and reliability of forecasts. Theoretical derivations and proofs are based on assumptions about grid topology and load distribution. This theoretical framework provides a robust foundation for integrating stochastic processes into power-grid forecasting models, offering practical benefits through enhanced predictive performance and operational efficiency. Practical implementation should consider specific grid characteristics and integrate these insights with existing data to ensure model relevance and applicability in real-world scenarios. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

How to Cite

Mahamadi Diop, Sarra Ndaw, Salif Sow (2008). Spectral Methods and Condition-Number Analysis in Stochastic Power-Grid Forecasting for Senegal: A Theoretical Framework. African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science), Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18870472

Keywords

Sub-SaharanStochasticSpectralDecompositionConditioningPower GridNetworks

References