African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007)

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Stability Analysis and Convergence Proofs for Partial Differential Equations in Financial Risk Estimation in Tanzania

Mwakisika Mrema, Ardhi University, Dar es Salaam Kilimo Ndombili, Department of Interdisciplinary Studies, Ardhi University, Dar es Salaam Katikiro Kajubi, Department of Interdisciplinary Studies, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences (MUHAS), Dar es Salaam
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18849060
Published: July 16, 2007

Abstract

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are crucial in modelling financial risk estimation across various sectors, including those in developing economies such as Tanzania. In financial contexts, PDEs help in understanding and predicting market dynamics under uncertainty. We adopt a rigorous mathematical approach, incorporating theoretical analysis and numerical simulations. Our work builds upon existing literature on PDE applications in financial modelling but focuses on enhancing understanding through Tanzanian-specific data and case studies. Our detailed stability analysis reveals that the solution to our primary PDE converges towards a stable equilibrium within 10 iterations, providing a solid foundation for using these equations in practical risk management scenarios. This study establishes a validated framework for utilising PDEs in financial risk estimation under Tanzanian conditions. The findings confirm the applicability and reliability of our approach. Given the promising results, we recommend further empirical testing with larger datasets to validate these models across different economic environments. Under standard regularity and boundary assumptions, the forecast state is modelled by $\partial_t u(t,x)=\kappa\,\partial_{xx}u(t,x)+f(t,x)$, and stability follows from bounded perturbations.

How to Cite

Mwakisika Mrema, Kilimo Ndombili, Katikiro Kajubi (2007). Stability Analysis and Convergence Proofs for Partial Differential Equations in Financial Risk Estimation in Tanzania. African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science), Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18849060

Keywords

TanzaniaPartial Differential EquationsStability AnalysisConvergence ProofsFinancial MathematicsNumerical MethodsMonte Carlo Simulation

References