African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

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Stability Analysis and Convergence Proofs in Numerical Optimization for Epidemic Spread Modelling in Tanzania

Kamali Kihara, Ardhi University, Dar es Salaam Mwakisemba Kashaka, Department of Research, State University of Zanzibar (SUZA) Munyua Kiwanuka, State University of Zanzibar (SUZA)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18714944
Published: July 23, 2000

Abstract

This study addresses a current research gap in Mathematics concerning Numerical Optimization for epidemic spread modeling in Tanzania: stability analysis and convergence proofs in Tanzania. The objective is to formulate a rigorous model, state verifiable assumptions, and derive results with direct analytical or practical implications. A theorem-driven mathematical framework was developed under explicit regularity assumptions, with stability and convergence analysis of the proposed estimator. The main results show stability of the proposed functional under bounded perturbations and convergence of the estimator to a well-defined limit, characterised by $R(x)=argmin_theta L(theta;x)$. The findings provide a reproducible analytical basis for subsequent theoretical and applied extensions. Stakeholders should prioritise inclusive, locally grounded strategies and improve data transparency. Numerical Optimization for epidemic spread modeling in Tanzania: stability analysis and convergence proofs, Tanzania, Africa, Mathematics, theoretical This work contributes a formal specification, transparent assumptions, and mathematically interpretable claims.

How to Cite

Kamali Kihara, Mwakisemba Kashaka, Munyua Kiwanuka (2000). Stability Analysis and Convergence Proofs in Numerical Optimization for Epidemic Spread Modelling in Tanzania. African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science), Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18714944

Keywords

TanzaniaGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Optimization TheoryStability AnalysisConvergence CriteriaDifferential EquationsNumerical Methods

References